EredivisieMatchday 2

Telstar 1-3 Sparta: prediction, tips and result

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1-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Rabobank IJmond Stadion, Velsen
Referee:
Ingmar Oostrom

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won63%

referee Ingmar Oostrom averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won42%

referee Ingmar Oostrom averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTelstar146545%37%Draw25%30%Sparta152730%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%58%O2.562%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Telstar4:1SpartaW
  2. Sparta1:0TelstarL
  3. Telstar1:1SpartaD
  4. Sparta3:2TelstarL
  5. Telstar1:3SpartaL
Telstar's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 2
RefereeI. Oostrom−0.7 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Telstar : Sparta
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%2-0—1-27%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%2-2—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes64%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals62%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals61%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%54%54%
1 – Telstar win45%46% · Elo 37%46%· Elo 37%
Over 3.5 goals39%33%33%
Under 2.5 goals38%45%45%
Both teams to score: no36%42%42%
2 – Sparta win30%29% · Elo 34%29%· Elo 34%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 30%25%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Telstar attack vs Sparta defenceattack1470defence1462+8 pts to the attack
Sparta attack vs Telstar defenceattack1442defence1453−11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sparta concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Telstar: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Telstar: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sparta: no win in 7 matches
  • Sparta: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Telstar: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sparta: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Sparta813413:206
15Telstar81347:146
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Telstar vs Sparta?

Telstar 1-3 Sparta (half time 0-1).

Did the Telstar vs Sparta tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.