EredivisieMatchday 2

Utrecht 1-4 AZ Alkmaar: prediction, tips and result

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1-4Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Referee:
Danny Makkelie

The match in numbers

1X2EloUtrecht164332%36%Draw26%30%AZ Alkmaar174742%35%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%56%O2.557%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Utrecht2:0AZ AlkmaarW
  2. AZ Alkmaar4:1UtrechtL
  3. Utrecht0:0AZ AlkmaarD
  4. AZ Alkmaar1:2UtrechtW
  5. AZ Alkmaar3:3UtrechtD
Utrecht's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.3under 3.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6
RefereeD. Makkelie−0.2 cards vs average39 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.6total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Utrecht : AZ Alkmaar
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-18%1-0—1-29%2-0—0-17%0-27%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-17%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-29%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-17%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%77%77%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals66%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes60%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%70%70%
Over 2.5 goals57%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals43%47%47%
2 – AZ Alkmaar win42%30% · Elo 35%30%· Elo 35%
Both teams to score: no40%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals34%31%31%
1 – Utrecht win32%44% · Elo 36%44%· Elo 36%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 30%26%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals20%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Utrecht attack vs AZ Alkmaar defenceattack1531defence1556−25 pts to the attack
AZ Alkmaar attack vs Utrecht defenceattack1547defence1564−17 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3AZ Alkmaar861118:819
13Utrecht822414:258
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?

Utrecht 1-4 AZ Alkmaar (half time 0-1).