EredivisieMatchday 2

Willem II 1-4 Nijmegen: prediction, tips and result

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1-4Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Referee:
Serdar Gozubuyuk

The match in numbers

1X2EloWillem II141419%20%Draw21%26%Nijmegen164060%55%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.565%58%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nijmegen1:1Willem IID
  2. Willem II4:1NijmegenW
  3. Willem II0:1NijmegenL
  4. Nijmegen0:0Willem IID
  5. Willem II0:1NijmegenL
Willem II's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 3
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.3under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeS. Gozubuyuk+0.5 cards vs average41 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.2total 3.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.7total 3.0
Willem II : Nijmegen
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-28%0-17%2-1—1-37%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-27%0-18%2-17%1-3—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-28%0-27%0-10-17%0-18%2-12-1—2-17%1-31-37%1-3—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%81%81%
X2 – away team avoid defeat81%71%71%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals65%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes62%60%60%
2 – Nijmegen win60%46% · Elo 55%46%· Elo 55%
Under 3.5 goals56%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals44%36%36%
1X – home team avoid defeat40%54%54%
Both teams to score: no38%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals35%42%42%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
1 – Willem II win19%29% · Elo 20%29%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals14%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Willem II attack vs Nijmegen defenceattack1407defence1519−112 pts to the attack
Nijmegen attack vs Willem II defenceattack1588defence1427+161 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Nijmegen823313:149
18Willem II80267:232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Willem II vs Nijmegen?

Willem II 1-4 Nijmegen (half time 0-1).