EredivisieMatchday 1

Zwolle 0-2 Ajax: prediction, tips and result

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0-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle
Referee:
Jannick van der Laan

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: AjaxWon65%

Ajax: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloZwolle148616%19%Draw19%25%Ajax179365%57%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.565%53%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Zwolle0:0AjaxD
  2. Ajax3:1ZwolleL
  3. Zwolle0:1AjaxL
  4. Ajax2:0ZwolleL
  5. Zwolle1:3AjaxL
Zwolle's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.3under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 5
RefereeJ. van der Laan+0.7 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.3total 3.4Attack/defence1.2 : 1.6total 2.8
Zwolle : Ajax
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-210%0-17%0-29%1-37%2-1—1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-28%1-3—2-17%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-17%0-19%0-20-29%0-28%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-17%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat84%72%72%
12 – no draw81%75%75%
Our tip: 2 – Ajax win65%47% · Elo 57%47%· Elo 57%
Over 2.5 goals65%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals57%69%69%
Over 3.5 goals43%31%31%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
1X – home team avoid defeat35%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals35%47%47%
X – draw19%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
1 – Zwolle win16%28% · Elo 19%28%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals15%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Zwolle attack vs Ajax defenceattack1417defence1583−166 pts to the attack
Ajax attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1548defence1423+125 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zwolle concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Ajax concede a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.

League form

Zwolle

No matches played this season yet.

Ajax

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Ajax843122:1015
16Zwolle81166:214
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Zwolle vs Ajax?

Zwolle 0-2 Ajax (half time 0-0).

Did the Zwolle vs Ajax tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Ajax. The tip won.