EliteserienMatchday 15

Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HamKam: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Referee:
Kristoffer Hagenes

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won56%

9.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.8 in the visitors', league average 10.5

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Won45%

9.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.8 in the visitors', league average 10.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSarpsborg 08159358%48%Draw22%25%HamKam155520%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%57%O2.562%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. HamKam1:3Sarpsborg 08W
  2. Sarpsborg 084:0HamKamW
  3. HamKam0:2Sarpsborg 08W
  4. Sarpsborg 081:7HamKamL
  5. HamKam1:1Sarpsborg 08D
Sarpsborg 08's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.5under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.5under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 6
RefereeK. Hagenes+1.1 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Sarpsborg 08 : HamKam
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%3-1—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-09%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%74%74%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals62%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals61%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes60%57%57%
1 – Sarpsborg 08 win58%50% · Elo 48%50%· Elo 48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%50%50%
Both teams to score: no40%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals39%33%33%
Under 2.5 goals38%44%44%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
2 – HamKam win20%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Sarpsborg 08 attack vs HamKam defenceattack1480defence1462+18 pts to the attack
HamKam attack vs Sarpsborg 08 defenceattack1455defence1489−34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Sarpsborg 082277828:3128
11HamKam22751033:4626
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?

Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HamKam (half time 1-0).

Did the Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.