1. LigaMatchday 6

Legnica 2-1 Warta Poznan: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion im. Orla Bialego, Legnica (attendance: 2,548)
Referee:
Karol Wójcik

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost65%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (64% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLegnica138346%48%Draw27%27%Warta Poznan133728%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%58%O2.560%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Legnica3:2Warta PoznanW
  2. Warta Poznan1:4LegnicaW
  3. Warta Poznan1:1LegnicaD
  4. Legnica1:2Warta PoznanL
  5. Legnica0:0Warta PoznanD
Legnica's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.5league 11.2under 11.5: 53%Expected corners: 11.5 in this match, 11.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.0under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 7
RefereeK. Wójcikfirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Legnica : Warta Poznan
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%1-27%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-07%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes62%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals60%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%56%56%
1 – Legnica win46%43% · Elo 48%43%· Elo 48%
Under 2.5 goals40%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
Both teams to score: no38%42%42%
2 – Warta Poznan win28%31% · Elo 25%31%· Elo 25%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Legnica attack vs Warta Poznan defenceattack1530defence1509+21 pts to the attack
Warta Poznan attack vs Legnica defenceattack1545defence1531+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Legnica matches average 13.3 corners (league 11.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Warta Poznan: newly promoted
  • Legnica: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Warta Poznan: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Warta Poznan1050518:1515
8Legnica1042414:1014
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Legnica vs Warta Poznan?

Legnica 2-1 Warta Poznan (half time 1-1).

Did the Legnica vs Warta Poznan tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.