1. LigaMatchday 3

Polonia 2-2 Pogon Siedlce: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Stadion Edwarda Szymkowiaka, Bytom
Referee:
Pawel Wrzeszczynski

The match in numbers

1X2EloPolonia133057%47%Draw24%28%Pogon Siedlce129019%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%55%O2.552%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Polonia1:1Pogon SiedlceD
  2. Pogon Siedlce2:0PoloniaL
Polonia's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners11.1league 11.3under 11.5: 57%Expected corners: 11.1 in this match, 11.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 11.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.7league 4.0under 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 4
RefereeP. Wrzeszczynski−2.1 cards vs average1 match

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.8
Polonia : Pogon Siedlce
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-08%2-110%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat81%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals77%76%76%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals70%70%70%
1 – Polonia win57%49% · Elo 47%49%· Elo 47%
Over 2.5 goals52%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes52%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals48%48%48%
Both teams to score: no48%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals30%30%30%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals23%24%24%
2 – Pogon Siedlce win19%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
Attack vs defence
Polonia attack vs Pogon Siedlce defenceattack1516defence1485+31 pts to the attack
Pogon Siedlce attack vs Polonia defenceattack1408defence1480−72 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Polonia concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Pogon Siedlce matches average only 2.7 cards (league 4.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Polonia: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Polonia: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Pogon Siedlce: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Pogon Siedlce93339:812
13Polonia1026215:1712
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Polonia vs Pogon Siedlce?

Polonia 2-2 Pogon Siedlce (half time 0-1).