1. LigaMatchday 8

Puszcza 1-2 LKS Lodz: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium, Krakow
Referee:
Bartosz Frankowski

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 11.5Lost61%

8.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.0 in the visitors', league average 11.1

For the brave
Corners: Under 10.5Lost50%

8.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.0 in the visitors', league average 11.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPuszcza136828%37%Draw28%29%LKS Lodz139243%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%51%O2.546%46%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Puszcza1:0LKS LodzW
  2. LKS Lodz0:3PuszczaW
  3. LKS Lodz3:2PuszczaL
  4. Puszcza2:1LKS LodzW
  5. Puszcza1:0LKS LodzW
Puszcza's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 11.1under 11.5: 61%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.0under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
RefereeB. Frankowski−0.3 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.4total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.5
Puszcza : LKS Lodz
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%1-0—0-09%1-29%0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-010%0-09%1-28%0-2—2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-110%0-110%1-01-0—1-010%0-00-09%0-09%1-21-29%1-28%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals75%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals73%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%64%64%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%64%64%
Under 2.5 goals54%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes52%51%51%
Both teams to score: no48%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals46%46%46%
2 – LKS Lodz win43%36% · Elo 34%36%· Elo 34%
1 – Puszcza win28%36% · Elo 37%36%· Elo 37%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 29%28%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals27%29%29%
Over 3.5 goals25%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Puszcza attack vs LKS Lodz defenceattack1449defence1543−94 pts to the attack
LKS Lodz attack vs Puszcza defenceattack1547defence1540+7 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • LKS Lodz matches average only 2.8 cards (league 4.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Puszcza matches average only 8.6 corners (league 11.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Puszcza: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • LKS Lodz: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6LKS Lodz1043313:1115
18Puszcza92078:136
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Puszcza vs LKS Lodz?

Puszcza 1-2 LKS Lodz (half time 1-1).

Did the Puszcza vs LKS Lodz tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 11.5. The tip lost.