EkstraklasaMatchday 1

Jagiellonia 1-0 Korona Kielce: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Bialystok City Stadium, Bialystok (attendance: 18,832)
Referee:
Karol Arys

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won60%

referee Karol Arys averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.2 cards against a league average of 4.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloJagiellonia170447%58%Draw27%24%Korona Kielce160425%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%55%O2.551%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Korona Kielce1:1JagielloniaD
  2. Jagiellonia3:1Korona KielceW
  3. Korona Kielce3:1JagielloniaL
  4. Jagiellonia3:1Korona KielceW
  5. Jagiellonia3:0Korona KielceW
Jagiellonia's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.2league 4.1under 4.5: 77%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 1
RefereeK. Arys−1.7 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Jagiellonia : Korona Kielce
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-0—1-26%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-08%0-0—1-21-2—1-26%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%75%75%
12 – no draw72%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals71%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes54%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals51%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals49%47%47%
1 – Jagiellonia win47%51% · Elo 58%51%· Elo 58%
Both teams to score: no46%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals29%31%31%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Korona Kielce win25%25% · Elo 18%25%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals24%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Jagiellonia attack vs Korona Kielce defenceattack1575defence1506+69 pts to the attack
Korona Kielce attack vs Jagiellonia defenceattack1480defence1503−23 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Korona Kielce matches average only 2.5 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.

League form

Jagiellonia

No matches played this season yet.

Korona Kielce

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Korona Kielce1043312:1215
10Jagiellonia940513:1612
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce?

Jagiellonia 1-0 Korona Kielce (half time 0-0).

Did the Jagiellonia vs Korona Kielce tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.