EkstraklasaMatchday 2
Legia 3-1 Zaglebie: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Municipal Stadium of Marshal Jozef Pilsudski, Warsaw (attendance: 26,762)
- Referee:
- Karol Arys
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won58%
referee Karol Arys averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 4.1
Other tips
- Match Result: LegiaWon60%
Legia: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%50%O2.551%47%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Legia1:0ZaglebieW
- Zaglebie3:1LegiaL
- Zaglebie0:3LegiaW
- Legia2:0ZaglebieW
- Legia2:1ZaglebieW
Legia's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.3league 4.1under 4.5: 76%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 0
RefereeK. Arys−1.7 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Legia : ZaglebieMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-012%1-012%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%75% | 75% |
| 1 – Legia win | 60%51% · Elo 50% | 51%· Elo 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%50% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%50% | 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%25% | 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Zaglebie win | 17%23% · Elo 23% | 23%· Elo 23% |
Attack vs defence
Legia attack vs Zaglebie defenceattack1525defence1503+22 pts to the attack
Zaglebie attack vs Legia defenceattack1468defence1567−99 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Zaglebie: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Zaglebie score only 0.7 goals per game
- Legia: 5 wins in a row
- Legia: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Legia: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Zaglebie: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Zaglebie
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legia | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 9 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Legia vs Zaglebie?
Legia 3-1 Zaglebie (half time 1-1).
Did the Legia vs Zaglebie tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.