EkstraklasaMatchday 3

Radomiak Radom 1-3 Gornik Z.: prediction, tips and result

·

1-3Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Stadion Radomiaka Radom, Radom (attendance: 11,239)
Referee:
Marcin Kochanek

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost67%

referee Marcin Kochanek averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 4.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost49%

referee Marcin Kochanek averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRadomiak Radom154934%35%Draw27%29%Gornik Z.170839%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%55%O2.554%50%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gornik Z.6:2Radomiak RadomL
  2. Radomiak Radom4:0Gornik Z.W
  3. Gornik Z.3:2Radomiak RadomL
  4. Radomiak Radom1:2Gornik Z.L
  5. Radomiak Radom1:1Gornik Z.D
Radomiak Radom's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 8
RefereeM. Kochanek−1.2 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Radomiak Radom : Gornik Z.
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%1-07%0-18%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-28%1-09%0-19%2-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-07%1-09%0-10-18%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%75%75%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals68%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes58%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals54%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals46%50%50%
Both teams to score: no42%45%45%
2 – Gornik Z. win39%36% · Elo 36%36%· Elo 36%
1 – Radomiak Radom win34%38% · Elo 35%38%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals32%28%28%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals22%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Radomiak Radom attack vs Gornik Z. defenceattack1497defence1558−61 pts to the attack
Gornik Z. attack vs Radomiak Radom defenceattack1501defence1447+54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Radomiak Radom matches average 5.9 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Radomiak Radom: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Gornik Z.: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Gornik Z.1081119:925
16Radomiak Radom102269:238
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Z.?

Radomiak Radom 1-3 Gornik Z. (half time 0-2).

Did the Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Z. tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.