EkstraklasaMatchday 2

Wieczysta Krakow 1-2 Lech Poznan: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 1 August · 16:30

Wieczysta Krakow

1-2

1-2Full time(half time 0-2)

Lech Poznan

0-0

Stadium:: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow (attendance: 6,792)
Referee:: Wojciech Myc

The match in numbers

1X2EloWieczysta Krakow143322%13%Draw24%20%Lech Poznan180954%67%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%59%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.6both scored

H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met

Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches

Cardsleague cardstoo few matches

RefereeW. Myc−0.4 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.2 : 1.9total 3.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.6total 2.9

Wieczysta Krakow : Lech Poznan

Most likely scores

Market1-111%1-210%0-18%0-28%2-1—1-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%0-27%2-17%1-07%1-3—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-18%0-18%0-20-28%0-27%2-12-1—2-17%1-01-0—1-07%1-31-36%1-3—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	82%79%	79%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	78%69%	69%
12 – no draw	76%75%	75%
Under 3.5 goals	63%66%	66%
Over 2.5 goals	60%56%	56%
Both teams to score: yes	59%59%	59%
2 – Lech Poznan win	54%44% · Elo 67%	44%· Elo 67%
1X – home team avoid defeat	46%56%	56%
Both teams to score: no	41%41%	41%
Under 2.5 goals	40%44%	44%
Over 3.5 goals	37%34%	34%
X – draw	24%25% · Elo 20%	25%· Elo 20%
1 – Wieczysta Krakow win	22%31% · Elo 13%	31%· Elo 13%
Under 1.5 goals	18%21%	21%

Attack vs defence

Wieczysta Krakow attack vs Lech Poznan defenceattack1482defence1555−73 pts to the attack

Lech Poznan attack vs Wieczysta Krakow defenceattack1599defence1421+178 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Lech Poznan: unbeaten in 11 matches
Wieczysta Krakow: newly promoted
Wieczysta Krakow: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Lech Poznan: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form