Liga Portugal 2Matchday 2

Amarante 0-1 Lourosa: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
Referee:
Diogo Teixeira Araujo

The match in numbers

1X2EloAmarante132733%39%Draw30%28%Lourosa139137%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%54%O2.540%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeD. Teixeira Araujo−1.0 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.6
Amarante : Lourosa
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-011%0-111%1-010%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-08%0-18%1-010%2-19%1-2—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-011%0-08%0-10-111%0-18%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%73%73%
12 – no draw70%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals68%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%69%69%
Under 2.5 goals60%51%51%
Both teams to score: no52%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes48%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals40%49%49%
2 – Lourosa win37%31% · Elo 33%31%· Elo 33%
1 – Amarante win33%42% · Elo 39%42%· Elo 39%
Under 1.5 goals32%26%26%
X – draw30%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals20%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Amarante attack vs Lourosa defenceattack1488defence1462+26 pts to the attack
Lourosa attack vs Amarante defenceattack1507defence1478+29 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lourosa score a lot late on: 11 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Amarante: newly promoted
  • Amarante: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lourosa: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lourosa752012:517
16Amarante71246:105
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Amarante vs Lourosa?

Amarante 0-1 Lourosa (half time 0-1).