Liga Portugal 2Matchday 4

Felgueiras 2-1 Chaves: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
Referee:
Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost55%

our numbers: 5.4 cards against a league average of 5.9; referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 5.9

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost39%

referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 5.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFelgueiras137142%41%Draw29%28%Chaves136729%31%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%47%O2.543%41%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Felgueiras1:0ChavesW
  2. Chaves1:1FelgueirasD
  3. Chaves2:0FelgueirasL
  4. Felgueiras1:2ChavesL
  5. Chaves0:0FelgueirasD
Felgueiras's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.9under 5.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.lost · ended 7
RefereeL. Carlos Mateus Filipe−0.8 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.3
Felgueiras : Chaves
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%0-19%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-011%1-012%0-00-010%0-010%0-10-19%0-110%2-12-19%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%70%70%
12 – no draw71%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals70%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals57%59%59%
Both teams to score: no51%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes49%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals43%41%41%
1 – Felgueiras win42%41% · Elo 41%41%· Elo 41%
Under 1.5 goals30%32%32%
X – draw29%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
2 – Chaves win29%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals22%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Felgueiras attack vs Chaves defenceattack1481defence1519−38 pts to the attack
Chaves attack vs Felgueiras defenceattack1518defence1552−34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chaves concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Chaves matches average only 4.2 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Felgueiras: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Chaves: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Felgueiras concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Chaves: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Felgueiras: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Chaves: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Felgueiras71335:76
17Chaves71246:145
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Felgueiras vs Chaves?

Felgueiras 2-1 Chaves (half time 1-0).

Did the Felgueiras vs Chaves tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.