Liga Portugal 2Matchday 5
Leiria 1-0 Portimonense: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
- Referee:
- Bruno Pires Costa
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won57%
referee Bruno Pires Costa averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 5.9; our numbers: 5.3 cards against a league average of 5.9
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won41%
referee Bruno Pires Costa averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 5.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%56%O2.548%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Leiria1:0PortimonenseW
- Portimonense1:1LeiriaD
- Leiria1:0PortimonenseW
- Portimonense0:3LeiriaW
- Leiria0:1PortimonenseL
Leiria's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.5under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.9under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 4
RefereeB. Pires Costa−1.1 cards vs average24 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Leiria : PortimonenseMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-08%0-0—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-08%0-00-08%0-0—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%78% | 78% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Leiria win | 44%50% · Elo 49% | 50%· Elo 49% |
| X – draw | 28%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Portimonense win | 28%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%22% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%32% | 32% |
Attack vs defence
Leiria attack vs Portimonense defenceattack1574defence1459+115 pts to the attack
Portimonense attack vs Leiria defenceattack1487defence14870 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Portimonense matches average only 4.7 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Portimonense: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Portimonense: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Leiria: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Portimonense: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leiria vs Portimonense?
Leiria 1-0 Portimonense (half time 1-0).
Did the Leiria vs Portimonense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.