Liga Portugal 2Matchday 7
Leixoes 1-2 Porto B: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos
- Referee:
- Jose Bessa
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Match Result: LeixoesLost60%
Leixoes: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%52%O2.551%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Porto B0:3LeixoesW
- Leixoes2:4Porto BL
- Porto B0:1LeixoesW
- Leixoes3:0Porto BW
- Porto B0:2LeixoesW
Leixoes's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows6.2league 5.5over 5.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 6.2 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 36%.won · ended 7
RefereeJ. Bessa+1.4 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%11:1coverageleague 52% · H2H 4/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.7
Leixoes : Porto BMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-110%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%73% | 73% |
| Our tip: 1 – Leixoes win | 60%50% · Elo 45% | 50%· Elo 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%27% | 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Porto B win | 17%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
Attack vs defence
Leixoes attack vs Porto B defenceattack1519defence1432+87 pts to the attack
Porto B attack vs Leixoes defenceattack1451defence1500−49 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%51%
8.546%38%
9.534%33%
10.523%18%
Each team on its own
Leixoeswe expect 5.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 68%
Porto Bwe expect 2.9, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 27.8 in this match, 26.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.568%60%
25.562%49%
26.556%44%
27.550%42%
Each team on its own
Leixoeswe expect 16.8, league average 13.2 · chance of over 13.5: 75%
Porto Bwe expect 12.6, league average 12.8 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Referee: 24.5 fouls per match on average (17 matches in our data)−2.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%67%
2.556%38%
3.534%24%
4.518%14%
Each team on its own
Leixoeswe expect 1.6, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Porto Bwe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leixoes vs Porto B?
Leixoes 1-2 Porto B (half time 0-0).
Did the Leixoes vs Porto B tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Leixoes. The tip lost.