Liga Portugal 2Matchday 4

Sporting CP B 2-1 Farense: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Referee:
Diogo Teixeira Araujo

The match in numbers

1X2EloSporting Lisbon B138438%32%Draw30%28%Farense145033%40%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%47%O2.542%40%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Farense2:1Sporting Lisbon BL
  2. Sporting Lisbon B3:1FarenseW
  3. Farense3:0Sporting Lisbon BL
  4. Sporting Lisbon B1:0FarenseW
  5. Sporting Lisbon B5:3FarenseW
Sporting Lisbon B's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.9under 5.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 33%.lost · ended 8
RefereeD. Teixeira Araujo−1.1 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Sporting CP B : Farense
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-011%0-110%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-011%1-012%0-00-010%0-011%0-10-110%0-110%2-12-18%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%80%80%
12 – no draw71%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals69%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals58%60%60%
Both teams to score: no51%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes49%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals42%40%40%
1 – Sporting CP B win38%39% · Elo 32%39%· Elo 32%
2 – Farense win33%32% · Elo 40%32%· Elo 40%
Under 1.5 goals31%34%34%
X – draw30%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals21%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Sporting CP B attack vs Farense defenceattack1476defence1534−58 pts to the attack
Farense attack vs Sporting CP B defenceattack1498defence1531−33 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sporting CP B: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sporting CP B score only 0.4 goals per game
  • Farense concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Sporting CP B: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Farense: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sporting CP B: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Farense: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Sporting CP B750210:615
3Farense742113:614
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sporting CP B vs Farense?

Sporting CP B 2-1 Farense (half time 1-0).