Liga Portugal 2Matchday 2

Torreense 2-2 Penafiel: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
Referee:
Marcio Torres

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost61%

referee Marcio Torres averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 6.0; our numbers: 5.0 cards against a league average of 6.0

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost45%

referee Marcio Torres averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 6.0; our numbers: 5.0 cards against a league average of 6.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTorreense144449%51%Draw28%26%Penafiel139623%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.544%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Torreense3:2PenafielW
  2. Penafiel1:0TorreenseL
  3. Penafiel0:1TorreenseW
  4. Torreense0:1PenafielL
  5. Penafiel1:1TorreenseD
Torreense's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.6under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards5.0league 6.0under 5.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 6.0 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 8
RefereeM. Torres−1.7 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.0total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Torreense : Penafiel
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%2-010%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-09%0-08%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-010%0-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat77%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals77%75%75%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals71%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals56%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%53%53%
Both teams to score: no51%49%49%
1 – Torreense win49%47% · Elo 51%47%· Elo 51%
Both teams to score: yes49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals44%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals29%28%28%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
2 – Penafiel win23%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
Over 3.5 goals23%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Torreense attack vs Penafiel defenceattack1543defence1494+49 pts to the attack
Penafiel attack vs Torreense defenceattack1479defence1520−41 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Torreense matches average only 4.1 cards (league 6.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Torreense: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Penafiel: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Penafiel741214:713
15Torreense71337:106
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Torreense vs Penafiel?

Torreense 2-2 Penafiel (half time 0-2).

Did the Torreense vs Penafiel tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.