Liga PortugalMatchday 1
Estrela 2-2 Sp Lisbon: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora
- Referee:
- Joao Goncalves
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won62%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
Other tips
- Match Result: Sp LisbonLost76%
Sp Lisbon: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won39%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%53%O2.562%56%|exp. goals 1.0 : 2.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Estrela0:1Sp LisbonL
- Sp Lisbon4:0EstrelaL
- Estrela0:3Sp LisbonL
- Sp Lisbon5:1EstrelaL
- Estrela1:2Sp LisbonL
Estrela's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.2under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 35%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Goncalves+0.1 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.7 : 2.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.0 : 2.0total 2.9
Estrela : Sp LisbonMost likely scores
Market0-213%0-311%1-18%0-110%1-29%1-3—Attack/defence0-211%0-37%1-111%0-110%1-210%1-37%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-213%0-211%0-30-311%0-37%1-11-18%1-111%0-10-110%0-110%1-21-29%1-210%1-31-3—1-37%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 91%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 2 – Sp Lisbon win | 76%61% · Elo 81% | 61%· Elo 81% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 62%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%53% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%33% | 33% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%44% | 44% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 24%39% | 39% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
| X – draw | 15%22% · Elo 13% | 22%· Elo 13% |
| 1 – Estrela win | 9%17% · Elo 7% | 17%· Elo 7% |
Attack vs defence
Estrela attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1425defence1633−208 pts to the attack
Sp Lisbon attack vs Estrela defenceattack1733defence1426+307 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Lisbon score 2.7 goals per game
- Sp Lisbon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Estrela: no win in 7 matches
- Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 10 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
League form
Estrela
No matches played this season yet.
Sp Lisbon
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Estrela vs Sp Lisbon?
Estrela 2-2 Sp Lisbon (half time 0-0).
Did the Estrela vs Sp Lisbon tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.