Liga PortugalMatchday 3

Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia: prediction, tips and result

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2-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Referee:
Anzhony Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won60%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won65%

    referee Anzhony Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 5.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGil Vicente166656%54%Draw26%26%Casa Pia154917%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%46%O2.540%43%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gil Vicente2:1Casa PiaW
  2. Casa Pia1:1Gil VicenteD
  3. Casa Pia1:0Gil VicenteL
  4. Gil Vicente1:1Casa PiaD
  5. Casa Pia0:0Gil VicenteD
Gil Vicente's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues−0.8 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.7total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.4
Gil Vicente : Casa Pia
Most likely scores
Market1-015%1-112%2-012%0-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-112%2-011%0-09%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-012%2-011%0-00-011%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%79%79%
Under 3.5 goals80%78%78%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals68%69%69%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals60%57%57%
Both teams to score: no58%54%54%
1 – Gil Vicente win56%53% · Elo 54%53%· Elo 54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes42%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals40%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals32%31%31%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals20%22%22%
2 – Casa Pia win17%21% · Elo 20%21%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Gil Vicente attack vs Casa Pia defenceattack1484defence1430+54 pts to the attack
Casa Pia attack vs Gil Vicente defenceattack1376defence1525−149 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Casa Pia: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Casa Pia score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Gil Vicente: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Casa Pia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Gil Vicente73226:511
17Casa Pia81163:174
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia (half time 2-0).

Did the Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.