Liga PortugalMatchday 1
Guimaraes 0-1 Arouca: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes
- Referee:
- Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost64%
referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 5.2
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost48%
referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 5.2
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%53%O2.549%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Arouca3:2GuimaraesL
- Guimaraes1:1AroucaD
- Guimaraes2:2AroucaD
- Arouca0:1GuimaraesW
- Arouca1:3GuimaraesW
Guimaraes's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 7
RefereeM. Bertolo Nogueira−0.6 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Guimaraes : AroucaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%50% | 50% |
| 1 – Guimaraes win | 49%48% · Elo 45% | 48%· Elo 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Arouca win | 24%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
Attack vs defence
Guimaraes attack vs Arouca defenceattack1507defence1441+66 pts to the attack
Arouca attack vs Guimaraes defenceattack1491defence1498−7 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Arouca: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
League form
Guimaraes
No matches played this season yet.
Arouca
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Guimaraes 0-1 Arouca (half time 0-0).
Did the Guimaraes vs Arouca tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.