Liga PortugalMatchday 1

Porto 2-0 Alverca: prediction, tips and result

·

2-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Estadio do Dragao, Porto
Referee:
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won64%

referee Luis Miguel Branco Godinho averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 5.2

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won48%

referee Luis Miguel Branco Godinho averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 5.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPorto197982%81%Draw13%12%Alverca16065%6%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS35%44%O2.558%49%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.7not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Porto1:0AlvercaW
  2. Alverca0:3PortoW
  3. Porto1:0AlvercaW
  4. Alverca1:2PortoW
Porto's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.2under 5.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Miguel Branco Godinho−0.6 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 0.7total 2.6
Porto : Alverca
Most likely scores
Market2-016%1-012%3-013%1-1—2-17%4-08%0-0—Attack/defence2-013%1-014%3-08%1-110%2-110%4-0—0-08%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-016%2-013%1-01-012%1-014%3-03-013%3-08%1-11-1—1-110%2-12-17%2-110%4-04-08%4-0—0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat95%87%87%
12 – no draw87%78%78%
1 – Porto win82%65% · Elo 81%65%· Elo 81%
Over 1.5 goals81%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals65%73%73%
Both teams to score: no65%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals58%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals42%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals35%27%27%
Both teams to score: yes35%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals19%27%27%
X2 – away team avoid defeat18%35%35%
X – draw13%22% · Elo 12%22%· Elo 12%
2 – Alverca win5%13% · Elo 6%13%· Elo 6%
Attack vs defence
Porto attack vs Alverca defenceattack1622defence1451+171 pts to the attack
Alverca attack vs Porto defenceattack1426defence1666−240 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Alverca matches average only 3.5 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.

League form

Porto

No matches played this season yet.

Alverca

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Porto880020:424
7Alverca832313:1211
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Porto vs Alverca?

Porto 2-0 Alverca (half time 2-0).

Did the Porto vs Alverca tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.