Liga PortugalMatchday 1
Santa Clara 2-2 Nacional: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio de Sao Miguel, Ponta Delgada
- Referee:
- Helder Carvalho
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost65%
under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 2.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Won63%
referee Helder Carvalho averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 5.2
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost37%
our numbers: 2.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%47%O2.535%41%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Santa Clara2:0NacionalW
- Nacional3:3Santa ClaraD
- Santa Clara1:0NacionalW
- Nacional2:0Santa ClaraL
- Santa Clara0:1NacionalL
Santa Clara's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.4over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.2under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 4
RefereeH. Carvalho−0.7 cards vs average21 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.8total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Santa Clara : NacionalMost likely scores
Market1-015%1-113%0-013%2-011%0-1—2-18%Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-010%2-09%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-013%0-010%2-02-011%2-09%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-18%2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 65%59% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 60%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Santa Clara win | 50%45% · Elo 47% | 45%· Elo 47% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40%47% | 47% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37%33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Nacional win | 21%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Santa Clara attack vs Nacional defenceattack1427defence1448−21 pts to the attack
Nacional attack vs Santa Clara defenceattack1454defence1529−75 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nacional: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Nacional matches average 11.9 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
League form
Santa Clara
No matches played this season yet.
Nacional
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Santa Clara vs Nacional?
Santa Clara 2-2 Nacional (half time 2-2).
Did the Santa Clara vs Nacional tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.