SuperligaMatchday 11
Farul Constanta 3-1 Petrolul: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadionul Viitorul, Ovidiu
- Referee:
- Horatiu Fesnic Mircea
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 4.5Lost62%
referee Horatiu Fesnic Mircea averages 6.2 card points a match, league average 4.5; our numbers: 5.6 card points against a league average of 4.5; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
Other tips
- Shots on Target – Farul Constanta: Over 4.5Won68%
our numbers for Farul Constanta: 5.9 shots on target against a league average of 4.9
For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 5.5Lost47%
referee Horatiu Fesnic Mircea averages 6.2 card points a match, league average 4.5; our numbers: 5.6 card points against a league average of 4.5; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%51%O2.553%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Farul Constanta2:0PetrolulW
- Petrolul0:1Farul ConstantaW
- Farul Constanta2:1PetrolulW
- Petrolul0:1Farul ConstantaW
- Farul Constanta2:1PetrolulW
Farul Constanta's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.7under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.0league 4.1over 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 40% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 3
RefereeH. Fesnic Mircea+1.6 yellow cards vs average29 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)67%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 62% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Farul Constanta : PetrolulMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Farul Constanta win | 49%49% · Elo 44% | 49%· Elo 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Petrolul win | 25%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Farul Constanta attack vs Petrolul defenceattack1500defence1476+24 pts to the attack
Petrolul attack vs Farul Constanta defenceattack1440defence1499−59 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 9.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.567%65%
8.555%54%
9.542%44%
10.531%30%
Each team on its own
Farul Constantawe expect 5.9, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 68%
Petrolulwe expect 3.5, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 22.7 in this match, 22.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.556%54%
22.549%48%
23.542%40%
24.536%33%
Each team on its own
Farul Constantawe expect 10.6, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 38%
Petrolulwe expect 9.6, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 27%
Referee: 27.4 fouls per match on average (18 matches in our data)+4.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.568%73%
2.542%48%
3.522%26%
4.510%12%
Each team on its own
Farul Constantawe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Petrolulwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Petrolul matches average 5.7 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Petrolul: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Farul Constanta: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Petrolul: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Petrolul | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Farul Constanta vs Petrolul?
Farul Constanta 3-1 Petrolul (half time 2-1).
Did the Farul Constanta vs Petrolul tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 4.5. The tip lost.