SuperligaMatchday 6

Otelul 1-0 FC Arges: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Otelul Din Galati, Galati
Referee:
Viorel Nicusor Flueran

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won60%

referee Viorel Nicusor Flueran averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 4.3

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Won63%

    under 2.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%

referee Viorel Nicusor Flueran averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 4.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOtelul145335%40%Draw32%29%FC Arges145032%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%46%O2.537%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Otelul2:1FC ArgesW
  2. FC Arges2:0OtelulL
  3. Otelul2:0FC ArgesW
  4. FC Arges3:2OtelulL
  5. Otelul5:1FC ArgesW
Otelul's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.6under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.3under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
RefereeV. Nicusor Flueran−1.5 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.1total 2.2Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Otelul : FC Arges
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%1-012%0-111%2-0—2-17%Attack/defence1-113%0-011%1-013%0-110%2-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-013%0-011%1-01-012%1-013%0-10-111%0-110%2-02-0—2-09%2-12-17%2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%72%72%
12 – no draw67%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals65%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals63%60%60%
Both teams to score: no55%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes45%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals37%40%40%
1 – Otelul win35%43% · Elo 40%43%· Elo 40%
Under 1.5 goals35%33%33%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
2 – FC Arges win32%28% · Elo 30%28%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Otelul attack vs FC Arges defenceattack1493defence1551−58 pts to the attack
FC Arges attack vs Otelul defenceattack1421defence1485−64 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • FC Arges matches average 6.5 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • FC Arges: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • FC Arges concede a lot late on: 8 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Otelul: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • FC Arges: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13FC Arges113266:1111
14Otelul1124511:1610
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Otelul vs FC Arges?

Otelul 1-0 FC Arges (half time 0-0).

Did the Otelul vs FC Arges tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.