SuperligaMatchday 11

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 0-2 Din. Bucuresti: prediction, tips and result

Friday 9 October · 19:00

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe

1-1 1-0 0-5 3-1 0-1

0-2Full time(half time 0-2)

Din. Bucuresti

4-0 3-1 2-1 1-1 2-1

Stadium:: Stadionul Municipal, Sfântu Gheorghe
Referee:: Viorel Nicusor Flueran

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 9 October 2026, 11:40. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Wonadded after the referee was announced64%

referee Viorel Nicusor Flueran averages 2.5 card points a match, league average 4.5; our numbers: 3.9 card points against a league average of 4.5; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

Match Result: Din. BucurestiWon63%
Din. Bucuresti: won 7 of their last 10 league matches; 3 league wins in a row
Shots on Target – Din. Bucuresti: Over 3.5Won69%
Din. Bucuresti: 6.2 shots on target a match, Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe's opponents had 5.0 on average, league average 3.9; over 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 league matches, Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe's opponents had over 3.5 in 8 of 10 (55% of league matches)

For the brave

Correct Score: 0:2Won11%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSepsi Sf. Gheorghe140619%24%Draw23%28%Din. Bucuresti159558%48%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%51%O2.558%47%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.5not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

30/11/202430/11/24Din. Bucuresti1:1Sepsi Sf. GheorgheD
27/07/202427/07/24Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe1:1Din. BucurestiD
04/12/202304/12/23Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe2:1Din. BucurestiW
31/07/202331/07/23Din. Bucuresti0:3Sepsi Sf. GheorgheW
20/03/202220/03/22Din. Bucuresti0:0Sepsi Sf. GheorgheD

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11

Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 70%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 3

RefereeV. Nicusor Flueran−1.2 yellow cards vs average15 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)73%21:1coverageleague 41% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.0 : 2.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.0 : 1.5total 2.6

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe : Din. Bucuresti

Most likely scores

Market1-111%0-19%1-210%0-210%0-0—1-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-29%0-29%0-08%1-08%1-3—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%0-10-19%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-210%0-29%0-00-0—0-08%1-01-0—1-08%1-31-36%1-3—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	81%72%	72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	81%75%	75%
12 – no draw	77%74%	74%
Under 3.5 goals	65%74%	74%
2 – Din. Bucuresti win	58%49% · Elo 48%	49%· Elo 48%
Over 2.5 goals	58%47%	47%
Both teams to score: yes	56%51%	51%
Both teams to score: no	44%49%	49%
1X – home team avoid defeat	42%51%	51%
Under 2.5 goals	42%53%	53%
Over 3.5 goals	35%26%	26%
X – draw	23%26% · Elo 28%	26%· Elo 28%
1 – Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe win	19%25% · Elo 24%	25%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals	19%28%	28%

Attack vs defence

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe attack vs Din. Bucuresti defenceattack1400defence1601−201 pts to the attack

Din. Bucuresti attack vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe defenceattack1600defence1439+161 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over

We expect 9.1 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.567%65%

8.555%54%

9.542%44%

10.531%30%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 4.2, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 40%

Din. Bucurestiwe expect 4.8, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 69%

Foulsleague average

Under 22.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%

We expect 20.6 in this match, 22.2 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

21.541%55%

22.534%49%

23.528%40%

24.522%33%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 10.7, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 39%

Din. Bucurestiwe expect 10.8, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 40%

Referee: 19.2 fouls per match on average (8 matches in our data)−2.9 vs the league average

Offsidesleague average

Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%

We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

1.571%73%

2.546%48%

3.525%26%

4.511%12%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 47%

Din. Bucurestiwe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 24%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Din. Bucuresti score 2.3 goals per game
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe score only 0.7 goals per game
Din. Bucuresti: unbeaten in 9 matches
Din. Bucuresti: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
Din. Bucuresti: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form