SuperligaMatchday 10

U Craiova 5-0 FCSB: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Referee:
Horatiu Fesnic Mircea

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost60%

referee Horatiu Fesnic Mircea averages 6.0 cards a match, league average 4.3; our numbers: 5.3 cards against a league average of 4.3

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Lost43%

referee Horatiu Fesnic Mircea averages 6.0 cards a match, league average 4.3; our numbers: 5.3 cards against a league average of 4.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloU Craiova165655%56%Draw24%26%FCSB151420%19%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.554%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. U Craiova1:0FCSBW
  2. FCSB1:0U CraiovaL
  3. FCSB1:0U CraiovaL
  4. U Craiova0:0FCSBD
  5. FCSB1:0U CraiovaL
U Craiova's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses0.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.3league 4.3over 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 1
RefereeH. Fesnic Mircea+2.0 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
U Craiova : FCSB
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-07%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-0—1-26%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-07%0-0—1-21-2—1-26%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals78%77%77%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals69%69%69%
1 – U Craiova win55%51% · Elo 56%51%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals54%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes54%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals46%46%46%
Both teams to score: no46%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals31%31%31%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals22%23%23%
2 – FCSB win20%25% · Elo 19%25%· Elo 19%
Attack vs defence
U Craiova attack vs FCSB defenceattack1617defence1540+77 pts to the attack
FCSB attack vs U Craiova defenceattack1617defence1623−6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • FCSB matches average 5.6 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • FCSB: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • U Craiova: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • FCSB: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3U Craiova1172225:923
9FCSB1143414:1715
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of U Craiova vs FCSB?

U Craiova 5-0 FCSB (half time 2-0).

Did the U Craiova vs FCSB tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.