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LaLiga 2Matchday 14

Valladolid 0-1 Castellon: prediction, tips and result

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Referee:
Salvador Lax Franco

The match in numbers

1X2Elo

Valladolid29%Draw26%Castellon45%favourite won

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS61%O2.558%not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

  1. Valladolid0:4CastellonL
  2. Castellon0:1ValladolidW
  3. Castellon2:1ValladolidL
  4. Valladolid1:0CastellonW
  5. Valladolid1:0CastellonW
Valladolid's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match

Cornersleague cornersin line with the league

9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12

Yellow cardsleague yellows

5.1league 5.2under 5.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 7

Referee

S. Lax Franco−0.6 yellow cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removed

Expected goals

Market1.3 : 1.7total 3.0
Valladolid : Castellon

Most likely scores

Market1-112%1-29%0-17%2-17%0-27%
Market1-11-112%1-21-29%0-10-17%2-12-17%0-20-27%
OutcomeMarket
Over 1.5 goals81%
12 – no draw74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%
Under 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Over 2.5 goals58%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%
2 – Castellon win45%
Under 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score: no39%
Over 3.5 goals36%
1 – Valladolid win29%
X – draw26%
Under 1.5 goals19%

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 9.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.573%65%
8.561%51%
9.549%36%
10.537%26%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Valladolidwe expect 5.7, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 50%
Castellonwe expect 4.3, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 61%

Foulsleague average

Under 24.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 23.3 in this match, 24.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.547%60%
24.540%54%
25.534%45%
26.528%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Valladolidwe expect 13.2, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 55%
Castellonwe expect 11.5, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 37%
Referee: 20.3 fouls per match on average (10 matches in our data)−3.5 vs the league average

Offsidesleague average

Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.571%55%
3.551%35%
4.532%25%
5.518%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Valladolidwe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Castellonwe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 48%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Valladolid matches average 6.7 cards (league 5.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Valladolid: 8 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
  • Castellon concede only 0.5 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
  • Valladolid: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Castellon: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoalsPts
2Castellon1393124:530
12Valladolid1453622:2118
Full league table

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