LaLigaMatchday 3

Celta 0-2 Ath Bilbao: prediction, tips and result

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0-2Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Estadio Balaidos, Vigo
Referee:
Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost56%

referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Lost39%

referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCelta182334%47%Draw31%28%Ath Bilbao183835%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%52%O2.540%48%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Ath Bilbao1:1CeltaD
  2. Celta2:0Ath BilbaoW
  3. Celta1:2Ath BilbaoL
  4. Ath Bilbao3:1CeltaL
  5. Celta2:1Ath BilbaoW
Celta's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.7over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 3
RefereeM. Busquets Ferrer+1.4 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Celta : Ath Bilbao
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-011%0-111%1-010%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-08%0-19%1-010%2-19%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-011%0-08%0-10-111%0-19%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%74%74%
12 – no draw69%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals68%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%69%69%
Under 2.5 goals60%53%53%
Both teams to score: no52%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes48%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals40%48%48%
2 – Ath Bilbao win35%31% · Elo 25%31%· Elo 25%
1 – Celta win34%42% · Elo 47%42%· Elo 47%
Under 1.5 goals32%27%27%
X – draw31%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals20%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Celta attack vs Ath Bilbao defenceattack1488defence1533−45 pts to the attack
Ath Bilbao attack vs Celta defenceattack1498defence1484+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Ath Bilbao concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Celta matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Celta matches average only 7.2 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Ath Bilbao: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Celta played 3 days ago
  • Ath Bilbao played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Celta81528:68
10Ath Bilbao62227:68
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Celta vs Ath Bilbao?

Celta 0-2 Ath Bilbao (half time 0-2).

Did the Celta vs Ath Bilbao tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.