LaLigaMatchday 1
Real Madrid 4-1 Sociedad: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid (attendance: 72,226)
- Referee:
- Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won59%
referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 5.3 cards against a league average of 4.7
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won73%
our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Won43%
referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer averages 5.9 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 5.3 cards against a league average of 4.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%56%O2.573%61%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Real Madrid4:1SociedadW
- Sociedad1:2Real MadridW
- Real Madrid2:0SociedadW
- Sociedad0:2Real MadridW
- Sociedad0:1Real MadridW
Real Madrid's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.3league 4.7over 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.won · ended 6
RefereeM. Busquets Ferrer+1.4 cards vs average21 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.0 : 0.7total 3.7Attack/defence2.2 : 1.0total 3.2
Real Madrid : SociedadMost likely scores
Market3-011%2-011%2-18%1-1—1-0—4-08%3-18%Attack/defence3-07%2-010%2-110%1-19%1-09%4-0—3-17%
MarketAttack/defence3-03-011%3-07%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-18%2-110%1-11-1—1-19%1-01-0—1-09%4-04-08%4-0—3-13-18%3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 94%85% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 89%80% | 80% |
| 1 – Real Madrid win | 83%65% · Elo 75% | 65%· Elo 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73%61% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52%39% | 39% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48%61% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27%39% | 39% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 17%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 11%20% · Elo 16% | 20%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%18% | 18% |
| 2 – Sociedad win | 6%16% · Elo 9% | 16%· Elo 9% |
Attack vs defence
Real Madrid attack vs Sociedad defenceattack1674defence1467+207 pts to the attack
Sociedad attack vs Real Madrid defenceattack1514defence1592−78 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sociedad matches average 6.4 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Real Madrid: 4 wins in a row
- Sociedad: no win in 9 matches
- Sociedad: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Real Madrid: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sociedad: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Real Madrid
Sociedad
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Sociedad?
Real Madrid 4-1 Sociedad (half time 1-1).
Did the Real Madrid vs Sociedad tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.