LaLigaMatchday 2

Vallecano 1-1 Alaves: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes (attendance: 4,280)
Referee:
Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won60%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost33%

under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVallecano183038%40%Draw31%29%Alaves178631%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%43%O2.540%36%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Alaves1:2VallecanoW
  2. Vallecano1:0AlavesW
  3. Alaves0:2VallecanoW
  4. Vallecano1:0AlavesW
  5. Alaves1:0VallecanoL
Vallecano's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.6over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.6over 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.lost · ended 3
RefereeJ. Luis Munuera Montero−0.3 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Vallecano : Alaves
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-011%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-013%0-012%0-112%2-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-011%1-013%0-00-011%0-012%0-10-110%0-112%2-12-18%2-17%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%67%67%
12 – no draw69%69%69%
Over 1.5 goals67%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%64%64%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals60%65%65%
Both teams to score: no53%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes47%43%43%
Over 2.5 goals40%36%36%
1 – Vallecano win38%36% · Elo 40%36%· Elo 40%
Under 1.5 goals33%37%37%
X – draw31%31% · Elo 29%31%· Elo 29%
2 – Alaves win31%34% · Elo 31%34%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals20%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Vallecano attack vs Alaves defenceattack1451defence1483−32 pts to the attack
Alaves attack vs Vallecano defenceattack1472defence1528−56 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Alaves832312:811
13Vallecano722311:168
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vallecano vs Alaves?

Vallecano 1-1 Alaves (half time 0-0).

Did the Vallecano vs Alaves tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.