AllsvenskanMatchday 23

Elfsborg 4-0 Halmstad: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Borås Arena, Boras
Referee:
Fredrik Klitte

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Elfsborg (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Won61%

Elfsborg: under 1.5 card points in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Halmstad's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 6 of 10 (54% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Match Result: ElfsborgWon73%

    Elfsborg: won 6 of their last 10 league matches

  • Fouls – Elfsborg: Under 9.5Won63%

    Elfsborg: under 9.5 fouls in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Halmstad's opponents committed under 9.5 in 8 of 10 (37% of league matches); our numbers for Elfsborg: 8.7 fouls against a league average of 10.9

  • Offsides: Under 2.5Won59%

    under 2.5 offsides in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloElfsborg156669%65%Draw18%20%Halmstad134513%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%47%O2.563%47%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Halmstad1:1ElfsborgD
  2. Elfsborg1:2HalmstadL
  3. Halmstad1:4ElfsborgW
  4. Halmstad0:1ElfsborgW
  5. Elfsborg2:0HalmstadW
Elfsborg's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 1
RefereeF. Klitte+0.6 yellow cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.9total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.6
Elfsborg : Halmstad
Most likely scores
Market1-08%1-19%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-08%Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-08%1-013%1-11-19%1-112%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-03-08%3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%82%82%
Over 1.5 goals84%72%72%
12 – no draw82%75%75%
1 – Elfsborg win69%57% · Elo 65%57%· Elo 65%
Over 2.5 goals63%47%47%
Under 3.5 goals59%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes55%47%47%
Both teams to score: no45%53%53%
Over 3.5 goals41%26%26%
Under 2.5 goals37%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat31%43%43%
X – draw18%25% · Elo 20%25%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals16%28%28%
2 – Halmstad win13%18% · Elo 16%18%· Elo 16%
Attack vs defence
Elfsborg attack vs Halmstad defenceattack1511defence1416+95 pts to the attack
Halmstad attack vs Elfsborg defenceattack1328defence1503−175 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.565%64%
8.552%52%
9.540%40%
10.528%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Elfsborgwe expect 4.8, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Halmstadwe expect 4.0, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 20.3 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.546%61%
21.539%54%
22.532%47%
23.526%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Elfsborgwe expect 8.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 27%
Halmstadwe expect 10.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Referee: 23.7 fouls per match on average (22 matches in our data)+2.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.567%65%
2.541%44%
3.521%25%
4.59%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Elfsborgwe expect 1.4, league average 1.1 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Halmstadwe expect 0.9, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 23%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Halmstad: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Halmstad matches average 13.1 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Halmstad score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Elfsborg: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Halmstad: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Elfsborg23117535:2240
16Halmstad23351516:4414
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Elfsborg vs Halmstad?

Elfsborg 4-0 Halmstad (half time 2-0).

Did the Elfsborg vs Halmstad tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Elfsborg (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5. The tip won.