AllsvenskanMatchday 16

Malmo FF 1-2 Degerfors: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Eleda Stadion, Malmo
Referee:
Fredrik Klitte

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Malmo FFLost66%

Degerfors: winless in their last 11 league matches; Malmo FF: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won58%

    over 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMalmo FF156166%62%Draw20%21%Degerfors141014%17%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%52%O2.558%57%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Degerfors0:1Malmo FFW
  2. Malmo FF1:1DegerforsD
  3. Degerfors1:4Malmo FFW
  4. Degerfors1:2Malmo FFW
  5. Malmo FF5:0DegerforsW
Malmo FF's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Klitte+0.7 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence2.1 : 0.9total 3.0
Malmo FF : Degerfors
Most likely scores
Market2-011%1-010%1-110%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-010%1-110%2-110%3-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%1-01-010%1-010%1-11-110%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-08%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%85%85%
Over 1.5 goals81%80%80%
12 – no draw80%79%79%
Our tip: 1 – Malmo FF win66%65% · Elo 62%65%· Elo 62%
Under 3.5 goals65%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals58%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes52%52%52%
Both teams to score: no48%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals42%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals35%35%35%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%35%35%
X – draw20%21% · Elo 21%21%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals19%20%20%
2 – Degerfors win14%15% · Elo 17%15%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Malmo FF attack vs Degerfors defenceattack1594defence1422+172 pts to the attack
Degerfors attack vs Malmo FF defenceattack1371defence1549−178 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Malmo FF concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Degerfors concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Malmo FF: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Degerfors score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Degerfors: 5 defeats in a row
  • Degerfors: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Malmo FF: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Degerfors: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Malmo FF23113938:3336
13Degerfors23551320:3520
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Malmo FF vs Degerfors?

Malmo FF 1-2 Degerfors (half time 0-1).

Did the Malmo FF vs Degerfors tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Malmo FF. The tip lost.