AllsvenskanMatchday 14

Sirius 4-1 Goteborg: prediction, tips and result

·

Sirius
2-13-04-42-13-1
4-1Full time(half time 2-1)
Goteborg
2-10-41-25-41-1
Stadium:
Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Referee:
Oscar Johnson

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

over 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches); our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.9

Other tips

  • Match Result: SiriusWon66%

    Sirius: won 8 of their last 10 league matches; won 5 of their last 6 league matches at home

  • Cards: Over 3.5Won55%

    referee Oscar Johnson averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 3.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won50%

over 3.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (29% of league matches); our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSirius162266%60%Draw18%22%Goteborg151816%19%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%61%O2.571%62%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sirius0:1GoteborgL
  2. Goteborg3:1SiriusL
  3. Goteborg1:1SiriusD
  4. Sirius2:2GoteborgD
  5. Goteborg0:1SiriusW
Sirius's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.6over 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 5
RefereeO. Johnson+1.5 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 1.2total 3.7Attack/defence2.0 : 1.2total 3.2
Sirius : Goteborg
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%2-08%3-18%1-0—3-07%2-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%3-17%1-08%3-0—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-08%3-13-18%3-17%1-01-0—1-08%3-03-07%3-0—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat84%78%78%
12 – no draw82%78%78%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%62%62%
1 – Sirius win66%56% · Elo 60%56%· Elo 60%
Both teams to score: yes64%61%61%
Over 3.5 goals50%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals50%60%60%
Both teams to score: no36%39%39%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals29%38%38%
X – draw18%22% · Elo 22%22%· Elo 22%
2 – Goteborg win16%22% · Elo 19%22%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals11%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Sirius attack vs Goteborg defenceattack1659defence1506+153 pts to the attack
Goteborg attack vs Sirius defenceattack1468defence1479−11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Goteborg concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Sirius score 2.7 goals per game
  • Sirius: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sirius: unbeaten in 18 matches
  • Sirius: 26 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sirius: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Goteborg: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Sirius

Goteborg

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sirius23173353:2854
8Goteborg23105832:4135
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sirius vs Goteborg?

Sirius 4-1 Goteborg (half time 2-1).

Did the Sirius vs Goteborg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also