AllsvenskanMatchday 14

Vasteras SK 2-0 Orgryte: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Referee:
Erik Mattsson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won61%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.2 cards against a league average of 3.6

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won60%

    9.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.0 in the visitors', league average 10.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won39%

referee Erik Mattsson averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVasteras SK149961%52%Draw21%24%Orgryte136118%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%57%O2.561%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Vasteras SK0:4OrgryteL
  2. Orgryte2:1Vasteras SKL
Vasteras SK's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.1under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 61%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.won · ended 1
RefereeE. Mattsson−1.5 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Vasteras SK : Orgryte
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%3-1—1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-09%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%73%73%
12 – no draw79%75%75%
1 – Vasteras SK win61%48% · Elo 52%48%· Elo 52%
Over 2.5 goals61%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals61%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes58%57%57%
Both teams to score: no42%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals39%33%33%
X – draw21%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Orgryte win18%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Vasteras SK attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1461defence1416+45 pts to the attack
Orgryte attack vs Vasteras SK defenceattack1401defence1414−13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orgryte concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Vasteras SK: newly promoted
  • Vasteras SK: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Orgryte: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Vasteras SK23105834:3635
15Orgryte23361425:5215
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vasteras SK vs Orgryte?

Vasteras SK 2-0 Orgryte (half time 1-0).

Did the Vasteras SK vs Orgryte tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.