Challenge LeagueMatchday 2

Wil 1-2 Xamax: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
IGP Arena, Wil
Referee:
Julian Muller

The match in numbers

1X2EloWil128741%40%Draw25%28%Xamax132233%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%65%O2.563%63%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Wil5:2XamaxW
  2. Xamax0:0WilD
  3. Wil2:1XamaxW
  4. Xamax3:1WilL
  5. Xamax2:3WilW
Wil's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.0over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.7under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Muller−0.8 cards vs average2 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Wil : Xamax
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%2-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-06%1-06%2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%83%83%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes65%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals63%63%63%
Under 3.5 goals59%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%58%58%
1 – Wil win41%42% · Elo 40%42%· Elo 40%
Over 3.5 goals41%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals37%37%37%
Both teams to score: no35%36%36%
2 – Xamax win33%34% · Elo 33%34%· Elo 33%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals16%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Wil attack vs Xamax defenceattack1480defence1485−5 pts to the attack
Xamax attack vs Wil defenceattack1513defence1474+39 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Xamax concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Xamax: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Wil: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Xamax: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Xamax1050515:1715
8Wil1024416:2210
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wil vs Xamax?

Wil 1-2 Xamax (half time 1-1).