Super LeagueMatchday 3
Lugano 5-0 Zurich: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- AIL Arena, Lugano
- Referee:
- Lukas Fahndrich
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won56%
referee Lukas Fahndrich averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 4.4 cards against a league average of 4.7
Other tips
- Match Result: LuganoWon63%
Lugano: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won38%
referee Lukas Fahndrich averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 4.4 cards against a league average of 4.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%59%O2.561%60%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Zurich0:1LuganoW
- Zurich0:1LuganoW
- Lugano1:0ZurichW
- Lugano0:3ZurichL
- Lugano4:1ZurichW
Lugano's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.7under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 3
RefereeL. Fahndrich−0.9 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.1
Lugano : ZurichMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-010%1-08%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%1-01-08%1-09%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%78% | 78% |
| 1 – Lugano win | 63%58% · Elo 64% | 58%· Elo 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%42% | 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%38% | 38% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 21% | 22%· Elo 21% |
| 2 – Zurich win | 17%20% · Elo 15% | 20%· Elo 15% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Lugano attack vs Zurich defenceattack1504defence1440+64 pts to the attack
Zurich attack vs Lugano defenceattack1438defence1574−136 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lugano: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lugano: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Zurich: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31:7 | 28 |
| 5 | Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:22 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lugano vs Zurich?
Lugano 5-0 Zurich (half time 2-0).
Did the Lugano vs Zurich tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.