Super LeagueMatchday 1
Luzern 1-3 Thun: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Thermoplan Arena, Lucerne
- Referee:
- Nico Gianforte
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%70%O2.565%70%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Thun2:1LuzernL
- Thun4:1LuzernL
- Luzern1:2ThunL
- Luzern3:0ThunW
- Thun1:1LuzernD
Luzern's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.8over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.lost · ended 4
RefereeN. Gianforte+0.7 cards vs average20 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.3total 3.4Attack/defence2.1 : 1.6total 3.6
Luzern : ThunMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-07%3-17%1-07%2-2—1-2—Attack/defence1-19%2-19%2-06%3-16%1-0—2-27%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-19%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-07%2-06%3-13-17%3-16%1-01-07%1-0—2-22-2—2-27%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%88% | 88% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Luzern win | 54%48% · Elo 41% | 48%· Elo 41% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 46%52% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%30% | 30% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 23%22% · Elo 28% | 22%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Thun win | 23%30% · Elo 31% | 30%· Elo 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%12% | 12% |
Attack vs defence
Luzern attack vs Thun defenceattack1557defence1473+84 pts to the attack
Thun attack vs Luzern defenceattack1542defence1474+68 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Thun concede 2.1 goals per game
- Thun matches average 6.0 cards (league 4.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Luzern: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
League form
Luzern
No matches played this season yet.
Thun
No matches played this season yet.
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Luzern | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 9 | Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:27 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Luzern vs Thun?
Luzern 1-3 Thun (half time 1-1).