Super LigMatchday 3

Galatasaray 3-2 Goztep: prediction, tips and result

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3-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Rams Park, Istanbul
Referee:
Mehmet Turkmen

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

referee Mehmet Turkmen averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.6

Other tips

  • Match Result: GalatasarayWon77%

    Galatasaray: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

    our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost43%

referee Mehmet Turkmen averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGalatasaray186977%71%Draw14%18%Goztep16309%11%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%54%O2.566%57%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Goztep1:3GalatasarayW
  2. Galatasaray3:1GoztepW
  3. Goztep0:2GalatasarayW
  4. Galatasaray2:1GoztepW
  5. Goztep2:3GalatasarayW
Galatasaray's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.5under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.6under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Turkmen−1.4 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.8total 3.4Attack/defence2.0 : 1.0total 3.0
Galatasaray : Goztep
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-1—3-010%2-19%1-08%3-18%Attack/defence2-010%1-110%3-07%2-110%1-010%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-010%1-11-1—1-110%3-03-010%3-07%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat91%83%83%
12 – no draw86%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
1 – Galatasaray win77%61% · Elo 71%61%· Elo 71%
Over 2.5 goals66%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals56%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes50%54%54%
Both teams to score: no50%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals44%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals34%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat23%39%39%
X – draw14%22% · Elo 18%22%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
2 – Goztep win9%18% · Elo 11%18%· Elo 11%
Attack vs defence
Galatasaray attack vs Goztep defenceattack1692defence1523+169 pts to the attack
Goztep attack vs Galatasaray defenceattack1524defence1619−95 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Goztep matches average 6.0 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Galatasaray: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Galatasaray: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Goztep: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Galatasaray751116:1116
15Goztep713315:156
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Galatasaray vs Goztep?

Galatasaray 3-2 Goztep (half time 1-1).

Did the Galatasaray vs Goztep tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.