Super LigMatchday 7

Gaziantep 0-3 Corum: prediction, tips and result

·

Gaziantep
1-01-24-20-00-2
0-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Corum
1-25-13-02-60-1
Stadium:
Gaziantep Stadium, Gaziantep
Referee:
Gurcan Hasova

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Gaziantep (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won66%

our numbers for Gaziantep: 2.1 card points against a league average of 2.3; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Fouls – Gaziantep: Under 11.5Won58%

    our numbers for Gaziantep: 11.0 fouls against a league average of 12.4; Gaziantep: under 11.5 fouls in 3 of their last 6 league matches, Corum's opponents committed under 11.5 in 5 of 6 (41% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Gaziantep: Over 1.5Won58%

    our numbers for Gaziantep: 2.0 offsides against a league average of 1.8

  • Shots on Target – Gaziantep: Over 4.5Lost57%

    our numbers for Gaziantep: 5.1 shots on target against a league average of 4.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGaziantep152540%40%Draw27%28%Corum158533%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.554%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 5
RefereeG. Hasova+0.6 yellow cards vs average10 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%X22:1coverageleague 64%covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.8
Gaziantep : Corum
Most likely scores
Market1-113%2-19%1-08%2-0—1-28%0-17%Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-010%2-08%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-28%1-27%0-10-17%0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%78%78%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%68%68%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals54%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals46%46%46%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
1 – Gaziantep win40%49% · Elo 40%49%· Elo 40%
2 – Corum win33%26% · Elo 32%26%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals32%32%32%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals22%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Gaziantep attack vs Corum defenceattack1467defence1426+41 pts to the attack
Corum attack vs Gaziantep defenceattack1432defence1460−28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.563%61%
8.550%50%
9.538%37%
10.527%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gaziantepwe expect 5.1, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Corumwe expect 3.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 26.0 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.564%59%
24.558%52%
25.551%49%
26.545%42%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gaziantepwe expect 11.0, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 32%
Corumwe expect 13.9, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 61%
Referee: 27.7 fouls per match on average (10 matches in our data)+2.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.569%66%
3.549%44%
4.530%26%
5.516%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gaziantepwe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Corumwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 48%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Corum: newly promoted
  • Gaziantep: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Corum: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Gaziantep

Corum

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Corum731316:1210
12Gaziantep72237:108
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gaziantep vs Corum?

Gaziantep 0-3 Corum (half time 0-1).

Did the Gaziantep vs Corum tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Gaziantep (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also