Super LigMatchday 1

Genclerbirligi 2-1 Fenerbahce: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
Referee:
Oguzhan Aksu

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won60%

referee Oguzhan Aksu averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won42%

referee Oguzhan Aksu averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGenclerbirligi152417%13%Draw22%19%Fenerbahce189761%68%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%56%O2.553%55%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fenerbahce3:1GenclerbirligiL
  2. Genclerbirligi1:3FenerbahceL
  3. Fenerbahce1:2GenclerbirligiW
  4. Genclerbirligi1:5FenerbahceL
  5. Genclerbirligi1:1FenerbahceD
Genclerbirligi's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.4over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.7under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 1
RefereeO. Aksu−2.0 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.9total 2.8Attack/defence1.1 : 1.8total 2.9
Genclerbirligi : Fenerbahce
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-211%0-111%1-210%0-37%2-1—1-0—Attack/defence1-111%0-29%0-19%1-210%0-3—2-16%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%0-20-211%0-29%0-10-111%0-19%1-21-210%1-210%0-30-37%0-3—2-12-1—2-16%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat83%76%76%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals78%79%79%
Under 3.5 goals69%67%67%
2 – Fenerbahce win61%52% · Elo 68%52%· Elo 68%
Over 2.5 goals53%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes51%56%56%
Both teams to score: no49%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals47%45%45%
1X – home team avoid defeat39%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals31%33%33%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 19%24%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals22%21%21%
1 – Genclerbirligi win17%24% · Elo 13%24%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Genclerbirligi attack vs Fenerbahce defenceattack1428defence1575−147 pts to the attack
Fenerbahce attack vs Genclerbirligi defenceattack1683defence1455+228 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fenerbahce matches average 6.4 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Fenerbahce score 2.3 goals per game
  • Fenerbahce: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Fenerbahce matches average 11.7 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.

League form

Genclerbirligi

No matches played this season yet.

Fenerbahce

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fenerbahce741219:613
13Genclerbirligi72237:158
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce?

Genclerbirligi 2-1 Fenerbahce (half time 1-1).

Did the Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.