MLS

CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati: prediction, tips and result

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CF Montreal
1-70-21-20-10-2
3-1Full time(half time 1-0)
FC Cincinnati
2-23-30-50-41-1
Stadium:
Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Referee:
Ismail Elfath

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches); 3.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 4.3

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%

    over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost44%

under 3.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (39% of league matches); 3.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 4.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCF Montreal130334%28%Draw25%27%FC Cincinnati144241%45%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%67%O2.565%65%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. FC Cincinnati4:3CF MontrealL
  2. FC Cincinnati3:0CF MontrealL
  3. CF Montreal1:3FC CincinnatiL
  4. FC Cincinnati4:1CF MontrealL
  5. CF Montreal2:1FC CincinnatiW
CF Montreal's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.3under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeI. Elfath−0.3 cards vs average15 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%1X1:2coverageleague 78% · H2H 1/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.8total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.7total 3.4
CF Montreal : FC Cincinnati
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%1-0—0-15%Attack/defence1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%1-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%0-10-15%0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%85%85%
12 – no draw75%77%77%
Both teams to score: yes67%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat59%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals57%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals43%43%43%
2 – FC Cincinnati win41%38% · Elo 45%38%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals35%35%35%
1 – CF Montreal win34%39% · Elo 28%39%· Elo 28%
Both teams to score: no33%34%34%
X – draw25%23% · Elo 27%23%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals14%15%15%
Attack vs defence
CF Montreal attack vs FC Cincinnati defenceattack1432defence1415+17 pts to the attack
FC Cincinnati attack vs CF Montreal defenceattack1578defence1415+163 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • FC Cincinnati concede 2.4 goals per game
  • CF Montreal concede 2.1 goals per game
  • FC Cincinnati: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • CF Montreal: 5 defeats in a row
  • CF Montreal: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • CF Montreal: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • FC Cincinnati: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

CF Montreal

FC Cincinnati

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9FC Cincinnati2799958:6536
15CF Montreal28661635:5624
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?

CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati (half time 1-0).

Did the CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also