Charlotte 3-2 FC Dallas: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
- Referee:
- Drew Fischer
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Fouls – Charlotte: Under 10.5Lost58%
our numbers for Charlotte: 10.0 fouls against a league average of 10.7
Other tips
- Offsides: Under 3.5Won71%
our numbers: 2.7 offsides against a league average of 3.1; under 3.5 offsides in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%58%O2.566%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.0under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.1under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Fischer+0.5 yellow cards vs average17 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)66%X22:1coverageleague 65%not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.6total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Charlotte : FC DallasMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-06%1-27%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%1-27%2-2—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%2-02-06%2-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%54% | 54% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%33% | 33% |
| 1 – Charlotte win | 43%46% · Elo 43% | 46%· Elo 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%42% | 42% |
| 2 – FC Dallas win | 32%29% · Elo 30% | 29%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Charlotte attack vs FC Dallas defenceattack1494defence1501−7 pts to the attack
FC Dallas attack vs Charlotte defenceattack1522defence1520+2 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%53%
9.550%42%
10.538%32%
11.527%24%
Each team on its own
Charlottewe expect 5.1, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
FC Dallaswe expect 4.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 19.9 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.543%53%
21.536%45%
22.529%39%
23.524%33%
Each team on its own
Charlottewe expect 10.0, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
FC Dallaswe expect 10.0, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Referee: 22.1 fouls per match on average (160 matches in our data)−0.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.551%59%
3.529%39%
4.514%20%
5.56%11%
Each team on its own
Charlottewe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
FC Dallaswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Charlotte matches average 13.0 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- FC Dallas: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Charlotte: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- FC Dallas: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CharlotteEastern Conference | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 3 | FC DallasWestern Conference | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Charlotte vs FC Dallas?
Charlotte 3-2 FC Dallas (half time 0-1).
Did the Charlotte vs FC Dallas tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Fouls – Charlotte: Under 10.5. The tip lost.