Colorado Rapids 1-0 Austin FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO (attendance: 16,922)
Referee:
Armando Villarreal

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won55%

6.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 5.2 in the visitors', league average 4.5; over 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (50% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Lost39%

over 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (32% of league matches); 6.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 5.2 in the visitors', league average 4.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloColorado Rapids137756%48%Draw23%27%Austin FC135421%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%53%O2.559%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Colorado Rapids0:2Austin FCL
  2. Austin FC0:1Colorado RapidsW
  3. Austin FC3:2Colorado RapidsL
  4. Colorado Rapids2:0Austin FCW
  5. Colorado Rapids1:0Austin FCW
Colorado Rapids's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.5over 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Villarreal+1.0 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Colorado Rapids : Austin FC
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-09%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%77%77%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals63%71%71%
Over 2.5 goals59%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes59%53%53%
1 – Colorado Rapids win56%52% · Elo 48%52%· Elo 48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals41%49%49%
Both teams to score: no41%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals37%29%29%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
2 – Austin FC win21%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals18%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Colorado Rapids attack vs Austin FC defenceattack1450defence1443+7 pts to the attack
Austin FC attack vs Colorado Rapids defenceattack1394defence1491−97 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Austin FC concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Colorado Rapids matches average 6.7 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Austin FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Colorado Rapids score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Austin FC concede a lot late on: 16 of 35 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Austin FC score a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Colorado Rapids: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Austin FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Colorado Rapids281141339:3937
13Austin FC287101136:5131
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC?

Colorado Rapids 1-0 Austin FC (half time 0-0).

Did the Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.