Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Referee:
Filip Dujic

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Won63%

under 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won44%

under 3.5 yellow cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (41% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloColorado Rapids137750%41%Draw25%28%San Jose Earthquakes140326%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%58%O2.560%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Colorado Rapids0:2San Jose EarthquakesL
  2. San Jose Earthquakes1:2Colorado RapidsW
  3. Colorado Rapids2:3San Jose EarthquakesL
  4. San Jose Earthquakes0:3Colorado RapidsW
  5. Colorado Rapids0:0San Jose EarthquakesD
Colorado Rapids's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeF. Dujic−0.1 yellow cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Colorado Rapids : San Jose Earthquakes
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-07%1-27%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-27%1-27%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%79%79%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals62%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes62%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%55%55%
1 – Colorado Rapids win50%45% · Elo 41%45%· Elo 41%
Under 2.5 goals40%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals38%33%33%
Both teams to score: no38%42%42%
2 – San Jose Earthquakes win26%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Colorado Rapids attack vs San Jose Earthquakes defenceattack1447defence1464−17 pts to the attack
San Jose Earthquakes attack vs Colorado Rapids defenceattack1524defence1513+11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.555%53%
9.542%42%
10.531%32%
11.522%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Colorado Rapidswe expect 5.4, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 3.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 22.0 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.559%53%
21.552%45%
22.545%39%
23.538%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Colorado Rapidswe expect 11.6, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 10.0, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Referee: 22.5 fouls per match on average (82 matches in our data)+0.7 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.564%59%
3.542%39%
4.524%20%
5.512%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Colorado Rapidswe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 45%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4San Jose Earthquakes28137850:4046
8Colorado Rapids281141339:3937
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (half time 1-0).

Did the Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.