New England Revolution 4-1 Atlanta Utd: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA (attendance: 34,428)
Referee:
Pierre-Luc Lauziere

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won58%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (48% of league matches); 3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 4.5

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNew England Revolution139344%51%Draw26%26%Atlanta Utd131930%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%53%O2.556%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Atlanta Utd1:2New England RevolutionW
  2. New England Revolution2:0Atlanta UtdW
  3. Atlanta Utd0:1New England RevolutionW
  4. New England Revolution2:1Atlanta UtdW
  5. Atlanta Utd4:1New England RevolutionL
New England Revolution's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.5under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
RefereeP.-L. Lauziere−0.4 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
New England Revolution : Atlanta Utd
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%2-07%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-07%0-17%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%74%74%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals66%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes60%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals56%50%50%
1 – New England Revolution win44%48% · Elo 51%48%· Elo 51%
Under 2.5 goals44%51%51%
Both teams to score: no40%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals34%28%28%
2 – Atlanta Utd win30%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%26%26%
Attack vs defence
New England Revolution attack vs Atlanta Utd defenceattack1440defence1476−36 pts to the attack
Atlanta Utd attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1412defence1491−79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • New England Revolution: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • New England Revolution played 3 days ago
  • Atlanta Utd played 3 days ago

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4New England Revolution281441045:3946
14Atlanta Utd28761533:4827
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of New England Revolution vs Atlanta Utd?

New England Revolution 4-1 Atlanta Utd (half time 2-0).

Did the New England Revolution vs Atlanta Utd tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.