Portland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas: prediction, tips and result

Thursday 23 July · 03:30

Portland Timbers

6-0 2-2 0-2 1-3 5-1

2-2Full time(half time 0-1)

FC Dallas

2-1 3-2 2-3 3-1 2-0

Stadium:: Providence Park, Portland, OR (attendance: 20,184)
Referee:: Alexis Da Silva

The match in numbers

1X2EloPortland Timbers138740%38%Draw25%28%FC Dallas146234%34%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%61%O2.567%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

28/09/202528/09/25Portland Timbers2:2FC DallasD
10/08/202510/08/25FC Dallas2:0Portland TimbersL
06/10/202406/10/24Portland Timbers0:0FC DallasD
05/07/202405/07/24FC Dallas3:2Portland TimbersL
12/06/202312/06/23Portland Timbers1:0FC DallasW

Portland Timbers's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8

Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.5over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 5

RefereeA. Da Silva+1.6 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.8 : 1.7total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.0

Portland Timbers : FC Dallas

Most likely scores

Market1-110%2-18%1-28%1-0—2-27%2-05%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—2-07%0-16%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-05%2-07%0-10-1—0-16%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	87%81%	81%
12 – no draw	74%75%	75%
Both teams to score: yes	68%61%	61%
Over 2.5 goals	67%58%	58%
1X – home team avoid defeat	65%68%	68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	59%56%	56%
Under 3.5 goals	54%64%	64%
Over 3.5 goals	46%36%	36%
1 – Portland Timbers win	40%44% · Elo 38%	44%· Elo 38%
2 – FC Dallas win	34%32% · Elo 34%	32%· Elo 34%
Under 2.5 goals	33%42%	42%
Both teams to score: no	32%39%	39%
X – draw	25%25% · Elo 28%	25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	13%19%	19%

Attack vs defence

Portland Timbers attack vs FC Dallas defenceattack1492defence1505−13 pts to the attack

FC Dallas attack vs Portland Timbers defenceattack1528defence1479+49 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

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