St. Louis City 3-3 FC Dallas: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Energizer Park, St. Louis, MO
Referee:
Jair Antonio Marrufo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

referee Jair Antonio Marrufo averages 2.0 cards a match, league average 4.3; our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.3

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon62%

    St. Louis City: scored in each of their last 11 league matches

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won49%

referee Jair Antonio Marrufo averages 2.0 cards a match, league average 4.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Louis City147645%40%Draw26%28%FC Dallas146229%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%58%O2.559%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. FC Dallas1:1St. Louis CityD
  2. St. Louis City1:1FC DallasD
  3. FC Dallas3:0St. Louis CityL
  4. FC Dallas2:0St. Louis CityL
  5. St. Louis City0:0FC DallasD
St. Louis City's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.3under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Antonio Marrufo−2.9 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
St. Louis City : FC Dallas
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-27%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-27%1-27%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%78%78%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals63%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes62%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals59%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%56%56%
1 – St. Louis City win45%44% · Elo 40%44%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals41%45%45%
Both teams to score: no38%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals37%32%32%
2 – FC Dallas win29%30% · Elo 32%30%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals18%22%22%
Attack vs defence
St. Louis City attack vs FC Dallas defenceattack1479defence1488−9 pts to the attack
FC Dallas attack vs St. Louis City defenceattack1527defence1505+22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • FC Dallas matches average 5.7 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • FC Dallas: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • St. Louis City: unbeaten in 11 matches
  • St. Louis City: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • FC Dallas: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St. Louis City: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • FC Dallas: 8 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2St. Louis City28148654:3850
3FC Dallas28138752:4547
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?

St. Louis City 3-3 FC Dallas (half time 2-1).

Did the St. Louis City vs FC Dallas tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.