Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC United: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 27 September · 03:30

Vancouver Whitecaps

3-0 1-3 3-0 1-2 3-0

3-3Full time(half time 2-1)

DC United

1-2 0-0 2-1 0-0 1-3

Stadium:: BC Place, Vancouver
Referee:: Fotis Bazakos

Our tips

Main tip

Match Result: Vancouver WhitecapsLost79%

Vancouver Whitecaps: won 6 of their last 10 league matches at home

For the brave

Correct Score: 2:0Lost11%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVancouver Whitecaps154379%73%Draw13%17%DC United12908%11%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%50%O2.570%63%|exp. goals 2.5 : 0.8both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

01/10/202301/10/23Vancouver Whitecaps2:2DC UnitedD
18/08/201918/08/19Vancouver Whitecaps1:0DC UnitedW
15/07/201815/07/18DC United3:1Vancouver WhitecapsL
27/05/201727/05/17Vancouver Whitecaps0:1DC UnitedL
09/04/201609/04/16DC United4:0Vancouver WhitecapsL

Vancouver Whitecaps's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 17

Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.3under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 1

RefereeF. Bazakos+1.0 cards vs average15 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)73%BTTS yes2:03:0coverageleague 72% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market2.8 : 0.8total 3.6Attack/defence2.5 : 0.8total 3.2

Vancouver Whitecaps : DC United

Most likely scores

Market2-011%3-010%2-19%1-07%3-18%1-1—Attack/defence2-012%3-010%2-19%1-09%3-18%1-18%

MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-012%3-03-010%3-010%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%3-13-18%3-18%1-11-1—1-18%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat	92%90%	90%
Over 1.5 goals	88%84%	84%
12 – no draw	87%84%	84%
Our tip: 1 – Vancouver Whitecaps win	79%74% · Elo 73%	74%· Elo 73%
Over 2.5 goals	70%63%	63%
Both teams to score: yes	52%50%	50%
Under 3.5 goals	51%59%	59%
Over 3.5 goals	49%41%	41%
Both teams to score: no	48%50%	50%
Under 2.5 goals	30%37%	37%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	21%27%	27%
X – draw	13%17% · Elo 17%	17%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals	12%16%	16%
2 – DC United win	8%10% · Elo 11%	10%· Elo 11%

Attack vs defence

Vancouver Whitecaps attack vs DC United defenceattack1642defence1428+214 pts to the attack

DC United attack vs Vancouver Whitecaps defenceattack1388defence1639−251 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

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