El Paso Locomotive FC 2-1 Pittsburgh: prediction, tips and result

Thursday 27 August · 02:00

El Paso Locomotive FC

0-2 1-0 1-0 3-0 1-0

2-1Full time(half time 0-0)

Pittsburgh

1-0 3-1 0-0 1-0 0-1

Stadium:: Southwest University Park, El Paso, TX

Our tips

Main tip

Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost60%

El Paso Locomotive FC: clean sheets in each of their last 4 league matches; under 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

Other tips

Cards: Under 4.5Won58%
3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 4.5

For the brave

Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost32%

El Paso Locomotive FC: clean sheets in each of their last 4 league matches; under 1.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (31% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEl Paso Locomotive FC151041%35%Draw30%28%Pittsburgh152729%37%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%40%O2.540%32%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.0both scored

H2Hlast 3 meetings

26/10/202426/10/24Pittsburgh2:0El Paso Locomotive FCL
23/04/202323/04/23El Paso Locomotive FC2:0PittsburghW
14/05/202214/05/22Pittsburgh1:0El Paso Locomotive FCL

El Paso Locomotive FC's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses1.7 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.1under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5

Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.5under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 1

Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.0 : 1.0total 2.0

El Paso Locomotive FC : Pittsburgh

Most likely scores

Market1-114%0-011%1-012%0-19%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%0-014%1-014%0-113%2-17%2-07%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-011%0-014%1-01-012%1-014%0-10-19%0-113%2-12-18%2-17%2-02-0—2-07%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	80%86%	86%
1X – home team avoid defeat	71%68%	68%
12 – no draw	70%68%	68%
Over 1.5 goals	68%59%	59%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals	60%68%	68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	59%64%	64%
Both teams to score: no	53%60%	60%
Both teams to score: yes	47%40%	40%
1 – El Paso Locomotive FC win	41%36% · Elo 35%	36%· Elo 35%
Over 2.5 goals	40%32%	32%
Under 1.5 goals	32%41%	41%
X – draw	30%32% · Elo 28%	32%· Elo 28%
2 – Pittsburgh win	29%32% · Elo 37%	32%· Elo 37%
Over 3.5 goals	20%14%	14%

Attack vs defence

El Paso Locomotive FC attack vs Pittsburgh defenceattack1491defence1656−165 pts to the attack

Pittsburgh attack vs El Paso Locomotive FC defenceattack1417defence1492−75 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Pittsburgh matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
El Paso Locomotive FC: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
El Paso Locomotive FC concede only 0.6 goals per game
El Paso Locomotive FC: 4 wins in a row
El Paso Locomotive FC: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Pittsburgh: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form